Which transport to prefer
Every day we go somewhere: to work, to the store, to nearby town or a neighboring country. Anyone is concerned about his safety, especially if he goes far. If you can get to the end point using different kinds transport, people assess their safety before buying a ticket. The statistics and the results of opinion polls show which transport is the most dangerous.
Most dangerous transport according to Russians
Sociologists are conducting large-scale research to find out what types of transport Russian citizens consider the most dangerous. Most often, Russians believe that the most dangerous species transport - automobile. First of all, we are talking about buses and minibuses. However, people are more afraid not so much technical malfunction public transport how much human factor. It is not uncommon to see a minibus or bus driver who talks on the phone while driving, smokes, and charges a fare. For fear of missing out on profits, drivers start racing, forgetting that the health and lives of passengers are in their hands. The second place in the degree of danger is given to trains, although ten years ago they were more feared than cars. In third place is water transport, although many people are more afraid not of the danger of accidents, but of pitching and seasickness. Aircraft in this rating took fourth place.
What the statistics say
If we analyze the statistics on the number of victims of different types of transport, we will see that the attitude of people towards cars is quite justified. The largest number of people die in car accidents. The total number of victims worldwide is approaching 1.2 million annually. Trains rank second in terms of statistics, although they are gradually becoming safer. For example, the modern Sapsan train already has a European level of reliability. The number of deaths on the water is about 2 thousand people annually, so water transport takes the third place in terms of danger. Airplanes are considered the safest, since about 1.5 thousand people die in plane crashes every year, which is ten times less than as a result of an accident. However, this type of transport has a significant drawback. If the plane crashes, the chances of survival are minimal for all passengers and personnel.
Unaccounted modes of transport
Opinion polls on travel safety are conducted only for the most popular means of transportation. Rare and unusual types of transport are not included in the rating. Otherwise last place in the rating of danger would be occupied by spaceships. The number of accidents that led to the death of people can be counted on one hand. So the safest transport so far is only in space. However, space tourism is developing, so in the future, ships flying in airless space may well get into such ratings.
As a result of which all 71 people on board were killed, it was the first plane crash in the world. civil aviation in 2018. In addition, this disaster completed a kind of "lull" record, which was noted by experts in the field of civil transportation in the past year.
2017 was the safest year in aviation history.
Statistics show that today the probability of dying on an airplane is much lower than when traveling by train, or much lower than in a car.
Much more likely to die while riding a bicycle or being struck by lightning.
Over the past year, 10 aircraft accidents were registered, as a result of which 44 people died on board and 35 on the ground. For comparison, in 2016 there were 16 incidents in which 303 people died.
Moreover, in 2017, five incidents accounted for freight transportation, five - for passenger. Taking into account last year's statistics, experts have calculated that the death of one passenger accounts for 7.36 million flights of all possible aircraft, which makes aviation the safest mode of transport today.
But most importantly, a record was set in civil aviation - for more than a year, not a single passenger plane on scheduled flights has crashed.
“On December 31, aviation set a record of 398 days without a single incident among scheduled passenger aircraft,” the ASN said in a report.
Moreover, a record 792 days have passed since the last incident with more than a hundred deaths. ” The Tu-154 crash near Sochi in December 2016 was not included in the statistics, since it was not a scheduled flight operated by the airline.
The decline in aviation accidents is not a surprise, said ASN President Harro Runter: “Since 1977, the average number of air incidents has shown a gradual and steady decline, thanks in large part to efforts by international aviation organizations such as ICAO, IATA, the Flight Safety Foundation and the aviation industry. ".
“2017 was the safest year in aviation history,” agrees To70 expert Adrian Young. However, according to him, said in January of this year, the statistics of aviation accidents were unprecedentedly low, despite the high level of safety. modern aircraft, should be perceived as lucky luck. So, last year there were serious incidents that, fortunately, did not lead to human casualties, for example -
the loss of an engine over Greenland, the world's largest passenger aircraft, the A380.
The airline's plane, flying on the Paris - Los Angeles route, happened on September 30, when the front part of the right engine along with the fan was literally torn off the plane over Greenland. There were 496 passengers and 24 crew members on board. As a result, the plane was forced to make an emergency landing on three engines at the Canadian Air Force "Goose Bay" and the passengers - to spend an extra 24 hours there.
According to the expert, lithium-ion batteries are currently in particular danger in the field of flight safety due to the possibility of their ignition on board, as well as factors related to the human factor, mental health and fatigue.
“When I started my profession 30 years ago, my boss gave me parting words: be prepared that an average of 20 planes die in the world every year,” recalls a representative of the German insurance company AGCS. "Fortunately, these statistics are now history."
The decline in accidents in aviation began to be observed in the 1950s. In many respects, experts attribute this to the massive transition of "big aviation" to jet and turboprop engines, which were more reliable than piston engines that were outdated by that time. Improvement of aircraft control systems, navigation systems, improvement of air traffic control, introduction of systems to help avoid collisions played a role.
According to statistics based on an analysis of more than a thousand plane crashes that occurred from 1950 to 2010 (it did not include incidents related to helicopters and military aircraft),
An upcoming trip to another city or a trip to the sea makes people think about which mode of transport to prefer. And here, some will choose a train, believing that it is safer, while others will fly by plane, spending less time moving. What kind of transport is actually considered the safest?
Public opinion
Opinion polls conducted over the past few years tend to show the same results. Of all modes of transport, the most safe passengers consider the train.
The plane is ranked among the most dangerous. Opinions about car rides were roughly evenly divided. In a relationship sea transport the public tends to classify it more as a safe way of getting around. But this is only the opinion of passengers who hardly study statistics on accidents, disasters and deaths related to them.
What does the statistics say?
If people prioritize airplanes as the most dangerous way to travel, then the statistics say quite the opposite. Statistics are compiled in such a way that mortality is taken as a basis (the number dead people) for 160,000,000 km of distance traveled. So when flying, this parameter is only 0.6-0.7 people. Railway transport is ranked second in terms of safety - the death rate per 160,000,000 km of track is 0.9 people. The death toll in road traffic accidents is 1.6 people. Therefore, we can conclude that an airplane is the safest form of transport, and road transport is recognized as the most dangerous.
If you still doubt that flying is less dangerous than driving by car, then here are some more facts In 2014, there were several plane crashes in the world that claimed 884 lives. And in our country alone, in the first six months of 2014, more than 10,000 people died in car accidents. So what kind of transportation would be safer? The answer is still obvious. Therefore, before the trip, it is worth weighing all the pros and cons, giving preference to one or another type of transport. And to get rid of the fear of flying (if anyone has any), here are some aviation facts.
1) An aircraft lands every three seconds in the world.
2) Dies from donkeys more people than in plane crashes.
3) If the chance of a daily catastrophe is at least 0.01 percent, then at least 13 planes should fall in a day.
4) A plane crash cannot be an accident - it is always a combination of some factors.
5) Before each flight, the aircraft undergoes a rigorous inspection and a complex technical condition check.
6) Over 80 percent of people on our planet are afraid to fly on airplanes, and 5 percent categorically refuse to do it, preferring trains or ships.
7) The plane cannot fall from a height of 10,000 km, as many fear. There is a lot of pressure under the wings of the plane, so it stays in the air in the same way as a car on the asphalt.
8) Russian pilots do not drink at the controls - this is a fiction of those people who are very afraid of flying.
Reading these facts may help reduce aerophobia. However, they are unlikely to be able to help those five percent of people who do not want to board the plane at all under any pretext.
Afraid to fly, preferring a car or a train? Completely in vain. Today we will determine the safest mode of transport based on dry statistics, which, as it turns out, have little to do with our fears.
It was not in vain that we started with fears, because they clearly show the extent to which our emotions and conjectures can prevail over facts and common sense. It is no coincidence that absolutely all sociological polls give approximately the same result. People think that the safest mode of transport is the train, the second place is the car, and the most dangerous, of course, is the plane. But it gives slightly different results.
There are several methods for calculating mortality in the world different types transport. The most accurate and widespread is the ratio of fatalities per segment of the distance traveled. The starting point is considered to be 100 million miles (160 million kilometers).
True, based on these statistics, the safest form of transport is space. Indeed, in its entire history, only three accidents happened, and the distances were enormous. However, space tourism is a prospect, albeit not too distant, but the future, so we will consider the more common means of transportation.
Especially for you: plane is the safest mode of transport, statistics confirm this 100%. 0.6 people die per 100 million miles. Taking 2014 as an example, there were 21 plane crashes worldwide. Of these, 10 are cargo ships, 11 are passenger ships. A total of 990 people died. This is less than the number of cyclists killed, and even less than the number of people killed in a year by donkeys.
In total, about 33 million flights were flown during the year. On average, there is one accident per 1 million departures. It should be noted, however, that most of them are on small private jets.
The probability of dying in a crash on a regular passenger flight is extremely small, 1 / 8,000,000. Even flying every day, it will take 21 millennia to get on that ill-fated flight that crashes.
The myth that there is no chance of survival in a plane crash also has little to do with reality. Aircrafts designed by people who know firsthand about aerodynamics and gravity. Therefore, in order to bump into the ground from a height of 10,000 km, you need to try hard.
Let's turn to statistics again. Over the past 20-odd years, about 500 aircraft accidents have occurred in the United States. The death toll in them was only 5% of the passengers on board at the time of the accident. Even if we disregard minor incidents and analyze only serious accidents with impacts to the ground, breaking the aircraft body and fires, the number of survivors in them is approximately 50%.
Railway transport
According to statistics, this is the safest type land transport... The fatality rate due to train accidents is 0.9 passengers per 160 million km. Sounds incredible considering the speed at which state-of-the-art trains travel. However, you can't argue with numbers. At the same time, to a large extent, global statistics are spoiled by countries such as, where the concept of safety has a very specific meaning.
Automobile transport
1.6 people die in traffic accidents per 160 million km of distance traveled. According to these statistics, the car can be safely attributed to the most dangerous form of transport. Every year, about 1.2 million people die on the roads of the world, which is a thousand times more than in plane crashes. Thus, you are more likely to get into an accident on the way to the airport than to die on the plane itself.
Moreover, these figures apply only to four-wheeled vehicles. If we talk about motorcycles and mopeds, then the death rate there is many times higher: 42 people per 160 million km.
Emergency landings: a video showing that even the most difficult situations have a way out.
Thanks to modern transport, we can move freely over long distances. But what is the safest transport? Oddly enough, the safest form of transport is the plane. After the plane, the safety of the passenger can be ensured by the train, and only then by the car. This is what the statistics say. More detailed information you can find out about this below.
First of all - planes
Air transport is the safest!
If you choose transport for a trip or travel, then statistics will definitely advise air communication. Contrary to the opinion of the majority, the plane is the most unreliable and dangerous form of transport - it is not! And all the fault is the wide resonance of the current plane crashes in the world. The facts themselves say exactly the opposite.
There are thousands of flights around the world every hour. According to statistics, there is only 1 death per 1 million air passengers.
Every plane crash is lightning news, discussed and followed closely by journalists. Always in the event of a major plane crash, shocking footage from the scene of the tragedy and lists of victims are shown on television, as well as mourning is declared.
But if you think about it, then 2-3 large plane crashes occur a year, and about a dozen small ones, while you can estimate the approximate number of victims, this is somewhere around 1-2 thousand people a year. Now think, how many car accidents occur every day that kill people? And a month and a year? In just a month, about 2 thousand people die as a result of car accidents.
In spite of a large number of victims in a plane crash, and after such a chance to survive is very small, the number of victims is ten times less than in tragedies with other types of transport.
In recent years, the number of plane crashes has decreased by 36%. This is due to the fact that aircraft are constantly being improved in everything, including safety. Before departure, the aircraft undergoes a thorough inspection and check, and the flight itself is controlled by both the crew of the aircraft and dispatchers on the ground.
Trains after planes
The second most secure mode of transport is the train. Statistics show that there are 18 deaths per 1 million passengers.
It is the railway communication that most people consider the safest form of transportation, but dry numbers indicate the opposite. Most likely, this is because there are rails under the train and they have their own separate route, when there is only air under the plane. Despite the fact that railway accidents also have a resonance, however, it is not as significant as in plane crashes.
Many might argue that rail accidents are no more frequent than plane crashes that kill fewer people. Nevertheless, the number of flights, passengers on them and the distance covered are many times greater than that of other types of transport.
Auto - unsafe
Cars are one of the most unsafe modes of transport. Judging by the numbers, there are 62 deaths per 1 million passengers.
- very insecure. Unlike the two previous modes of transport, here the chances of getting into an accident are increased due to other participants. road traffic that could cause an accident.
Now the numbers
Now let's give the statistics on mortality. If above we took into account the number of deaths per total number of passengers, now we will consider the data on the mileage covered:
- Air traffic - 0.05 people;
- Railway service - 0.9 people;
- Motor transport - 3.1 people.
